Extremely moody: Subprime disaster to worsen; global 'tidal wave' of company defaults coming
Lost amid the buzz on the president's budget was a piece of extremely bad news at home and abroad, if the predictors at Moody's are correct.
Budget this, budget that. Yes, Barack Obama's budget is a historic event. But his job keeps getting tougher and tougher. From yesterday's Wall Street Journal, "Moody's: Worse to Come on Subprime":
The ratings agency also said by the end of the year, one-third of subprime borrowers who are currently paying on their mortgages will become delinquent and eventually default, representing 19% of outstanding loans.
We're not just talking about homes. We're also talking about companies, as the Telegraph (U.K.)'s Edmund Conway reports in "Moody's predicts default rate will exceed peaks hit in Great Depression":
This peak is even higher than the peak reached in 1933, when bank after bank throughout America was collapsing, taking hoards of other companies with them....
The report traced the health of the bond market all the way back to the 1920s, and finds that the threat of companies defaulting is more stark now than at any point in that stretch of time.
Nice job, Conway, on writing an end-of-the-world story.




